![]() ![]() The Pick: Brendan Allen via Round 1 submission (+510 at BetRivers) Will Silva be able to stuff Allen’s takedown attempts? Maybe, but the more relentless Allen is, the sooner Silva and his 71% takedown defense will be taken down like he was in his latest loss to Gerald Meerschaert, which ended via submission. He has, however, been submitted in six of his eight losses. Through 31 professional fights, Silva boasts 20 knockout victories while having never been on the receiving end of a knockout. I am expecting Allen to shoot for takedowns early and often, especially considering the power and chin Silva possesses. At +510, it is worth taking a shot on him to pull that exact finish off once again. Half of those submission victories came in the first round, which is a product of Allen’s fast-paced style. A black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu, he has built up a reputation as being one of the more dangerous grapplers in the 185-pound division, securing six submission wins over those 10 UFC victories. Since joining the UFC, Allen is 10-2 with his two losses coming against current No. Allen enters this bout in tremendous form and has quite frankly been one of the more under-talked-about middleweights over the past couple of years. 13-ranked contender Brendan Allen taking on Bruno Silva. We have a middleweight bout kicking off the main card with No. Tony Sartori: Brendan Allen by Round 1 Submission (+510) Magny allows Rowe to take chances, looks for room to counter effectively, and finds the opening that changes the fight. My longshot bet is that the offensive-minded Rowe gets caught by the crafty Magny, getting stopped for the first time since his pro debut in 2014. ![]() He’s gone 3-3 in his last six, but everyone he’s lost to would probably beat Rowe, especially Gilbert Burns, who submitted Magny in January. ![]() Magny hasn’t ever missed weight and has been a welterweight nearly his entire pro-MMA career. Yes, Rowe has won three straight by stoppage, but he’s stepping up in competition, and if you’re missing weight multiple times within a year and a half, your body is taking a toll, especially as a soon-to-be 33-year-old. Phillip Rowe has come in 3.5 pounds over the 170-pound welterweight limit in two of his last three fights (though he made weight without issue this time). The Pick: Jose Marsical via decision (+650 at BetRivers)Ĭontributor at The Action Network and combat sports host and on-air talentĪs a New Yorker, I don’t love that two Brooklynites gotta fight, but it is what it is.įor this week’s MMA Prop Squad longshot, we’re going with Neil Magny by knockout. If you think Peek wears himself out before then, various iterations of Marsical late make sense as well – including same game parlays with his moneyline and round “overs” at plus-money.īut like Peek, I’m swinging for the fences with this pick at +600 odds. While there’s no guarantee Marsical follows that plan – his nickname of “The Machine Gun” doesn’t suggest a measured approach – that’s why we’re getting such long odds on the decision line here. What’s the best plan of attack? If it’s me, I’m building a game plan based around surviving the first round as cautiously as possible, before testing Peek’s suspect takedown defense in the later rounds. Now, put yourself in the shoes of somebody fighting Peek, such as Jose Marsical this weekend. Peek landed 51 of 86 significant strikes attempted all inside of one round, though the stats don’t do justice to just how significant those strikes were. Peek scored two knockdowns, threw more standing hammerfists than I’ve ever seen (though to be fair, I’d seen all of 0 before watching Peek), and righted himself following all four of his opponent’s takedowns through sheer force of will. Peek made a splash in his UFC debut, knocking out his opponent in the last second of the first round in one of the wildest fights I’ve ever seen. While he presumably understands the sanctioned nature of his more recent bouts, you wouldn’t realize it while watching him fight. Legend has it Trevor Peek agreed to his MMA debut expecting a street fight, but he was surprised to find out he was being taken to an arena. DOWNLOAD NOW Billy Ward: Jose Marsical by Decision (+650) ![]()
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